This section features recent working papers by Wharton and Penn faculty and students on topics related to quantitative finance. A selection of new and noteworthy publications may be viewed here.
2022-2023
Central Bank Digital Currency: Will Banks Survive?
Sergey Sarkisyan*
Fresh Start or Fresh Water: The Impact of Environmental Lender Liability
Aymeric Bellon*
Price Improvement and Payment for Order Flow: Evidence from A Randomized Controlled Trial
Bradford (Lynch) Levy*
Semiparametric Conditional Factor Models: Estimation and Inference
Qihui Chen, Nikolai Roussanov*, and Xiaoliang Wang*
The Return of Return Dominance: Decomposing the Cross-section of Prices
Ricardo De la O, Xiao Han, and Sean Myers*
The Value of Undiversified Shareholder Engagement
Felix Nockher*
2021-2022
Asymmetric Information and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets Mexican Data
Harold Cole*, Daniel Neuhann, and Guillermo Ordoñez*
Competition Network: Distress Spillovers and Predictable Industry Returns
Winston Dou*, Shane Johnson, Mingming Shao, and Wei Wu
Countercyclical Labor Income Risk and Portfolio Choices over the Life Cycle
Sylvain Catherine*
Credit Cycles with Market-Based Household Leverage
William Diamond* and Tim Landvoigt*
Diversity and Performance in Entrepreneurial Teams
Sophie Calder-Wang*, Paul Gompers, and Kanyuan (Kevin) Huang
Do Common Factors Really Explain the Cross-Section of Stock Returns?
Alejandro Lopez-Lira and Nikolai Roussanov*
Duration-Based Valuation of Corporate Bonds
Jules van Binsbergen* and Michael Schwert*
Economic Consequences of Transparency Regulation: Evidence from Bank Mortgage Lending
Allison Nicoletti* and Christina Zhu*
Financial Reporting and Employee Job Search
Ed deHaan, Nan Li, and Frank Zhou*
Foreign Influence in US Politics
Marco Grotteria, Max Miller*, and S.Lakshmi Naaraayanan
Monetary Transmission through Bond Funds
Chuck Fang*
Mutual Funds’ Discretionary Portfolio Disclosure Policies
James Li*
Pricing Public Information: The Role of Trade
Bradford (Lynch) Levy* and Felix Nockher*
Pricing Without Mispricing
Jianan Liu, Tobias Moskowitz, and Robert Stambaugh*
Risk-Free Rates and Convenience Yields Around the World
William Diamond* and Peter Van Tassel
Steering a Ship in Illiquid Waters: Active Management of Passive Funds
Naz Koont, Yiming Ma, Lubos Pastor, and Yao Zeng*
Technological Progress and Rent Seeking
Vincent Glode* and Guillermo Ordoñez*
Textual Analysis of Short-seller Research Reports, Stock Prices, and Real Investment
Jules van Binsbergen*, Xiao Han, and Alejandro Lopez-Lira
The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China
Hanming Fang*, Yongqin Wang, and Xian Wu
The Cost of Consumer Collateral: Evidence from Bunching
Benjamin Collier, Cameron Ellis, and Benjamin Keys*
The Impact of the Deposit Channel on the International Transmission of Monetary Shocks
Sergey Sarkisyan* and Tasaneeya Viratyosin*
Who Hedges Interest-rate Risk? Implications for Wealth Inequality
Sylvain Catherine*, Max Miller*, James D. Paron*, and Natasha Sarin*
2020-2021
An Invisible Oncologist: Health Implications of Financing Frictions
Alexandr Kopytov, Tong Liu*, and Haotian Xiang
Arbitraging Covered Interest Rate Parity Deviations and Bank Lending
Lorena Keller*
Bank Debt versus Mutual Fund Equity in Liquidity Provision
Yiming Ma, Kairong Xiao, and Yao Zeng*
Discounting Climate Change Mitigating Projects: A Production-Based Model with Disasters
Maria Gelrud*
Dissecting Green Returns
Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh*, and Lucian Taylor*
ETF Arbitrage Under Liquidity Mismatch
Kevin Pan and Yao Zeng*
Financial Fragility in the COVID-19 Crisis: The Case of Investment Funds in Corporate Bond Markets
Antonio Falato, Itay Goldstein*, and Ali Hortaçsu
Financial Information and Diverging Beliefs
Chris Armstrong*, Mirko Heinle*, and Irina Luneva*
Getting to the Core: Inflation Risks Within and Across Asset Classes
Xiang Fang, Yang Liu, and Nikolai Roussanov*
Heterogeneous-Agent Asset Pricing: Timing and Pricing Idiosyncratic Risks
James Paron*
Information Chasing versus Adverse Selection
Gabor Pinter, Chaojun Wang*, and Junyuan Zou
Interest Rates and the Design of Financial Contracts
Michael Roberts* and Michael Schwert*
Interested Investors and Intermediaries: When do ESG Concerns Lead to ESG Performance?
Henry Friedman and Mirko Heinle*
Liquidity and Volatility
Itamar Drechsler*, Alan Moreira, and Alexi Savov
Mutual Fund Flows and Performance in (Imperfectly) Rational Markets?
Nikolai Roussanov*, Hongxun Ruan, and Yanhao Wei
Mutual Fund Liquidity Transformation and Reverse Flight to Liquidity
Yiming Ma, Kairong Xiao, and Yao Zeng*
Mutual Fund Risk Shifting and Risk Anomalies
Xiao Han, Nikolai Roussanov*, and Hongxun Ruan
Neglected No More: Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise
Benjamin Keys* and Philip Mulder*
Retail Investor Trade and the Pricing of Earnings
Jeremy Michels*
Sea Level Rise Exposure and Municipal Bond Yields
Paul S. Goldsmith-Pinkham, Matthew Gustafson, Ryan Lewis, and Michael Schwert*
Should the U.S. Government Issue Floating Rate Notes?
Jonathan Hartley and Urban J. Jermann*
Size Discount and Size Penalty: Trading Costs in Bond Markets
Gabor Pinter, Chaojun Wang*, and Junyuan Zou
Stochastic Impatience and the Separation of Time and Risk Preferences
David Dillenberger*, Daniel Gottlieb, and Pietro Ortoleva
‘Superstitious’ Investors
Hongye Guo* and Jessica Wachter*
The Consequences of the Secular Decline of Interest Rate on Asset Prices
Sophia Hua*
The Economic Burden of Pension Shortfalls: Evidence from House Prices
Darren Aiello, Asaf Bernstein, Mahyar Kargar, Ryan Lewis, and Michael Schwert*
The Effects of Transparency on OTC Market-Making
Ryan Lewis and Michael Schwert*
The Reserve Supply Channel of Unconventional Monetary Policy
William Diamond*, Zhengyang Jiang, and Yiming Ma
To Pool or Not to Pool? Security Design in OTC Markets
Vincent Glode*, Christian Opp, and Ruslan Sverchkov
Venture Capital’s ‘Me Too’ Moment
Sophie Calder-Wang*, Paul Gompers, and Patrick Sweeney
2019-2020
Can the COVID Bailouts Save the Economy?
Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt*, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Capital Controls and Risk Misallocation: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Lorena Keller*
CLO Performance
Larry Cordell, Michael Roberts*, and Michael Schwert*
Common Fund Flows: Flow Hedging and Factor Pricing
Winston Wei Dou*, Leonid Kogan, and Wei Wu
Common Ownership and Innovation Efficiency
Xuelin Li, Tong Liu, and Lucian Taylor*
Competition, Profitability, and Discount Rates
Winston Wei Dou*, Yan Ji, and Wei Wu
Contracts with (Social) Benefits: The Implementation of Impact Investing
Christopher Geczy*, Jessica Jeffers, David Musto*, and Anne Tucker
Democratization, Inequality, and Risk Premia
Max Miller*
Dissecting Bankruptcy Frictions
Winston Wei Dou*, Lucian Taylor*, Wei Wang, and Wenyu Wang
Do Managers Learn from Institutional Investors Through Direct Interactions?
Rachel Zhang*
Economics of Leveraged Buyouts: Theory and Evidence from the UK Private Equity Industry
Alex Belyakov*
Executive Stock Options and Systemic Risk
Christopher Armstrong*, Allison Nicoletti*, and Frank Zhou*
Fearing the Fed: How Wall Street Reads Main Street
Tzuo-Hann Law, Dongho Song, and Amir Yaron*
Feedback and Contagion through Distressed Competition
Hui Chen, Winston Wei Dou*, Hongye Guo*, and Yan Ji
Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde*, Samuel Hurtado, and Galo Nuno
Implications of Money-Back Guarantees for Individual Retirement Accounts: Protection Then and Now
Vanya Horneff, Daniel Liebler, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia Mitchell*
Insurance against Long-Run Volatility Risk: Demand, Supply, and Pricing
Chuck Fang*
Is The United States A Lucky Survivor: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach
Jules van Binsbergen*, Sophia Hua*, and Jessica Wachter*
Macro-Finance Decoupling: Robust Evaluations of Macro Asset Pricing Models
Xu Cheng*, Winston Wei Dou*, and Zhipeng Liao
Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases
Jules van Binsbergen*, Xiao Han, and Alejandro Lopez-Lira*
Marketing Mutual Funds
Nikolai Roussanov*, Hongxun Ruan, and Yanhao Wei
Optimal, Truthful, and Private Securities Lending
Emily Diana*, Michael Kearns*, Seth Neel*, and Aaron Roth*
Social Security and Trends in Inequality
Sylvain Catherine*, Max Miller*, and Natasha Sarin*
Sovereign Default and the Decline in Interest Rates
Max Miller*, James Paron*, and Jessica Wachter*
Student Loans and Social Mobility
Mehran Ebrahimian*
Sustainable Investing in Equilibrium
Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh*, and Lucian Taylor*
Synergizing Ventures
Ufuk Akcigit, Emin Dinlersoz, Jeremy Greenwood*, and Veronika Penciakova
The Favorite-Longshot Midas
Etan Green*, Haksoo Lee, and David Rothschild
The Term Structure of Equity Risk Premia
Ravi Bansal, Shane Miller, Dongho Song, and Amir Yaron*
Underreaction, Overreaction, and Dynamic Autocorrelation of Stock Returns
Hongye Guo*
Undisclosed SEC Investigations
Terrence Blackburne, John Kepler, Phillip Quinn, and Daniel Taylor*
2018-2019
A Model of Two Days: Discrete News and Asset Prices
Jessica Wachter* and Yicheng Zhu*
Audit Process, Private Information, and Insider Trading
Salman Arif, John Kepler, Joseph Schroeder, and Daniel Taylor*
Comovement in Arbitrage Limits
Jianan Liu*
Countercyclical Labor Income Risk and Portfolio Choices over the Life-Cycle
Sylvain Catherine*
Do Risk Disclosures Matter When It Counts? Evidence from the Swiss Franc Shock
Luzi Hail*, Maximilian Muhn, and David Oesch
Evolution of Debtor Rights
Daniel Kim*
Financing Ventures: Some Macroeconomics
Jeremy Greenwood*, Pengfei Han, and Juan Sanchez
Fund Tradeoffs
Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh*, and Lucian Taylor*
Inalienable Customer Capital, Corporate Liquidity, and Stock Returns
Winston Wei Dou*, Yan Ji, David Reibstein*, and Wei Wu
Mind the Gap: Disentangling Credit and Liquidity in Risk Spreads
Krista Schwarz*
Risk Factors that Matter: Textual Analysis of Risk Disclosures for the Cross-Section of Returns
Alejandro Lopez-Lira*
Risk Free Interest Rates
Jules van Binsbergen*, William Diamond*, and Marco Grotteria
Size and Value in China
Jianan Liu*, Robert Stambaugh*, and Yu Yuan
Skill and Profit in Active Management
Robert Stambaugh*
Stochastic Impatience and the Separation of Time and Risk Preferences
David Dillenberger*, Daniel Gottlieb, and Pietro Ortolevax
Why Trade Over-the-Counter? When Investors Want Price Discrimination
Tomy Lee and Chaojun Wang*
2017-2018
Anomalies Abroad: Beyond Data Mining
Xiaomeng Lu, Robert Stambaugh*, and Yu Yuan
Cyclical Dispersion in Expected Defaults
Joao Gomes*, Marco Grotteria*, and Jessica Wachter*
Financial markets with trade on risk and return
Kevin Smith*
Good Booms, Bad Booms
Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordoñez*
Political Connections and the Informativeness of Insider Trades
Alan Jagolinzer, David Larcker, Gaizka Ormazabal, and Daniel Taylor*
Pricing long-lived securities in dynamic endowment economies
Jerry Tsai and Jessica Wachter*
Real Anomalies
Jules van Binsbergen* and Christian Opp*
Should Corporate Bond Trading Be Centralized?
Sebastien Plante*
Tight Money-Tight Credit: Coordination Failure in the Conduct of Monetary and Financial Policies
Julio Carrillo, Enrique Mendoza*, Victoria Nuguer, and Jessica Roldan-Pena
Venture Capital and the Macroeconomy
Christian Opp*
2016-2017
Absolving Beta of Volatility’s Effects
Jianan Liu, Robert Stambaugh* and Yu Yuan
Can Decentralized Markets Be More Efficient?
Vincent Glode* and Christian Opp*
Commodity Connectedness
Francis Diebold*, Laura Liu, and Kamil Yilmaz
Do rare events explain CDX tranche spreads?
Sang Byung Seo and Jessica Wachter*
Inefficiencies and Externalities from Opportunistic Acquirers
Di Li, Lucian Taylor*, and Wenyu Wang
Measuring the “Dark Matter” in Asset Pricing Models
Hui Chen, Winston Wei Dou*, and Leonid Kogan
Noisy Active Management
Robert Stambaugh*
Sensitivity and Computational Complexity in Financial Networks
Brett Hemenway* and Sanjeev Khanna*
Using Stocks or Portfolios in Tests of Factor Models
Andrew Ang, Jun Liu and Krista Schwarz*
Volatility Risk Pass-Through
Riccardo Colacito, Mariano Croce, Yang Liu, and Ivan Shaliastovich*
2015-2016
Disagreement about Inflation and the Yield Curve
Paul Ehling, Michael Gallmeyer, Christian Heyerdahl-Larsen, and Philipp Illeditsch*
Do Funds Make More When They Trade More?
Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh*, and Lucian Taylor*
Equilibrium Asset Pricing with Leverage and Default
Joao Gomes* and Lukas Schmid
Estimating Global Bank Network Connectedness
Mert Demirer, Francis Diebold*, Laura Liu, and Kamil Yilmaz
Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution
Erik Gilje*, Robert Ready, and Nikolai Roussanov*
Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns
Mete Kilic and Ivan Shaliastovich*
Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach
Frank Schorfheide*, Dongho Song, and Amir Yaron*
Large-Scale Loan Portfolio Selection
Justin Sirignano, Gerry Tsoukalas*, and Kay Giesecke
Mispricing Factors
Robert Stambaugh* and Yu Yuan
Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor Market Volatility
Mete Kilic and Jessica Wachter*
Subjective Dynamic Information Constraints
David Dillenberger*, R. Vijay Krishna, and Philipp Sadowski
Trans-Atlantic Equity Volatility Connectedness: U.S. and European Financial Institutions, 2004-2014
Francis Diebold* and Kamil Yilmaz
Two Centuries of Price Return Momentum
Christopher Geczy* and Mikhail Samonov
2014-2015
Assessing Asset Pricing Models using Revealed Preference
Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen*
CMBS and Conflicts of Interest: Evidence from a Natural Experiment on Servicer Ownership
Maisy Wong*
Commodity Trade and the Carry Trade: A Tale of Two Countries
Robert Ready, Nikolai Roussanov*, Colin Ward
Dynamic Portfolio Execution
Gerry Tsoukalas*, Jiang Wang, and Kay Giesecke
Houses as ATMs? Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Hui Chen, Michael Michaux, and Nikolai Roussanov*
Intangible Capital and the Investment-q Relation
Ryan Peters and Lucian Taylor*
Learning, Optimal Default, and the Pricing of Distress Risk
Christian Opp*
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Equity Premium
Efstathios Avdis and Jessica A. Wachter*
Measuring Marginal q
Vito Gala*
Measuring Skill in the Mutual Fund Industry
Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen*
Notes on Bonds: Liquidity at all Costs in the Great Recession
David Musto*, Greg Nini, and Krista Schwarz*
Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk
Sang Byung Seo and Jessica Wachter*
Understanding the Behavior of Distressed Stocks
Yasser Boualam, Joao F. Gomes*, and Colin Ward
Volatility-of-Volatility Risk
Darien Huang and Ivan Shaliastovich*
2013-2014
Adverse Selection and Intermediation Chains
Vincent Glode* and Christian Opp*
Cautious Expected Utility and the Certainty Effect
Simone Cerreia-Vioglioy, David Dillenberger* and Pietro Ortolevax
Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default
Pablo D’Erasmo and Enrique Mendoza*
Employee Satisfaction, Labor Market Flexibility, and Stock Returns Around The World
Alex Edmans*, Lucius Li, and Chendi Zhang
Equity Vesting and Investment
Alex Edmans*, Vivian Fang, and Katharina Lewellen
Financing Through Asset Sales
Alex Edmans* and William Mann
Good and Bad Uncertainty: Macroeconomic and Financial Market Implications
Gill Segal, Ivan Shaliastovich*, and Amir Yaron*
Governance and Comovement Under Common Ownership
Alex Edmans*, Doron Levit*, and Devin Reilly
Investment Noise and Trends
Robert Stambaugh *
Learning, Active Investors, and the Returns of Financially Distressed Firms
Christian Opp*
Optimal Time-Consistent Macroprudential Policy
Javier Bianchi and Enrique Mendoza*
Risk Adjustment and the Temporal Resolution of Uncertainty: Evidence from Options Markets
Darien Huang and Ivan Shaliastovich*
Risk Premia, Volatilities, and Sharpe Ratios in a Nonlinear Term Structure Model
Peter Feldhutter, Christian Heyerdahl-Larsen, and Philipp Illeditsch*
Scale and Skill in Active Management
Lubos Pastor, Robert F Stambaugh*, and Lucian A. Taylor*
Strategic News Releases in Equity Vesting Months
Alex Edmans*, Luis Goncalves-Pinto, Yanbo Wang, and Moqi Xu
The Value of Informativeness for Contracting
Pierre Chaigneau, Alex Edmans*, and Daniel Gottlieb*
Volatility, the Macroeconomy and Asset Prices
Ravi Bansal, Dana Kiku, Ivan Shaliastovich*, and Amir Yaron*
2012-2013
Arbitrage Asymmetry and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle
Robert Stambaugh*, Jianfeng Yu, and Yu Yuan
Contracting with Synergies
Alex Edmans*, Itay Goldstein*, and John Zhu*
Do Asset Price Bubbles have Negative Real Effects?
Indraneel Chakraborty, Itay Goldstein*, and Andrew MacKinlay
Does Junior Inherit? Refinancing and the Blocking Power of Second Mortgages
Philip Bond, Ronel Elul*, Sharon Garyn-Tai, and David Musto*
Durable Goods, Inflation Risk and the Equilibrium Asset Prices
Bjorn Eraker, Ivan Shaliastovich*, and Wenyu Wang
Dynamic Debt Runs and Financial Fragility: Evidence from the 2007 ABCP Crisis
Enrique Schroth, Gustavo Suarez, and Lucian Taylor*
Financial Crowding Out
John Graham, Mark Leary, and Michael Roberts*
High Water Marks in Competitive Capital Markets
Susan Christoffersen, David Musto*, and Bilge Yilmaz*
Information Inertia
Scott Condie, Jayant Ganguli, and Philipp Illeditsch*
Institutional Investors and Stock Market Liquidity: Trends and Relationships
Marshall Blume* and Donald Keim*
Myopic Agency
John Y. Zhu*
Precision of Ratings
Anastasia V. Kartasheva and Bilge Yilmaz*
Rating Agencies in the Face of Regulation
Christian Opp*, Marcus Opp, and Milton Harris
The Labor Market for Directors and Externalities in Corporate Governance
Doron Levit* and Nadya Malenko
The Real Costs of Disclosure
Alex Edmans*, Mirko Heinle*, and Chong Huang
2011-2012
Authority, Consensus and Governance
Archishman Chakraborty and Bilge Yilmaz*
Beliefs about Inflation and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Paul Ehling, Michael Gallmeyer, Christian Heyerdahl-Larsen, and Philipp Illeditsch*
CEO Wage Dynamics: Estimates from a Learning Model
Lucian Taylor*
Common Errors: How to (and Not to) Control for Unobserved Heterogeneity
Todd Gormley* and David Matsa
Compensating Financial Experts
Vincent Glode* and Richard Lowery
Countercyclical Currency Risk Premia
Hanno Lustig, Nikolai Roussanov*, and Adrien Verdelhan
On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms
Francis Diebold* and Kamil Yilmaz
Rare Booms and Disasters in a Multi-Sector Endowment Economy
Jerry Tsai and Jessica Wachter*
Soft Shareholder Activism
Doron Levit*
Status, Marriage, and Managers’ Attitudes to Risk
Nikolai Roussanov* and Pavel Savor
Submit a Paper
The Jacobs Levy Center generally issues calls for working papers and research grant proposals in the spring and fall, but additional entries are welcomed on a rolling basis. Submissions may be made here.